Bush's Convention Bounce Worst Ever for Incumbent President

The new Gallup poll, conducted entirely after the GOP convention and therefore the first poll that truly measures Bush's bounce, shows Bush with a very small bounce indeed: 2 points, whether you look at registered voters (RVs) or likely voters (LVs). His support among RVs has risen from 47 percent before to 49 percent after the convention, so that he now leads Kerry by a single point (49-48) rather than trailing by a point. Note also that Bush's 2-point bounce from his convention (which is defined as the change in a candidate's level of support, not in margin) is the worst ever received by an incumbent president, regardless of party, and the worst ever received by a Republican candidate, whether incumbent or not (see this Gallup analysis for all the relevant historical data). In 2000, Bush received an 8-point bounce. And even his hapless father received a 5-point bounce in 1992. The poll contains other results that suggest the relative ineffectiveness of the GOP convention.  [more ]
  • Super Ho Nader says Kerry 'blew it,' ensuring Bush will win race (BW thought that Nader thought that he could win though? Isn't that why he is running? to win? He should go get some more money from his  GOP pimps) [more ]
  • Ralph Nader's campaign schedule for September consists almost completely of battleground states, where his presence could aid in re-electing George W. Bush. From September 11th through September 18th, Nader will be stumping in the swing states of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, and Colorado. This route cannot be coincidental and it in fact belies claims he made when first announcing his presidential candidacy: "This is a campaign that strives to displace the present corporate regime of the Bush administration. [more ]
  • Nader may Be Absent From Florida Ballot [more ]