Economist Toby Rogers Calls the Substantial Rising Autism Rates Among Black Children "Evidence of a Genocide." Data Shows Black and Hispanic Kids "are being poisoned at an astronomical rate"
/From [TOBY ROGERS] and [HERE] I. Introduction
The new autism numbers came out last Thursday. We all knew that they would be bad because nearly every prevalence report for the last 20 years has shown increasing rates. We also knew that once again the CDC and mainstream media would try to spin increasing prevalence as “good news” in the Orwellian way that they do.
Let’s walk through the two reports and then have a brief conversation about what we do about this.
II. The new numbers
There are several systems for tracking autism prevalence in the U.S. including the Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network (ADDM), National Survey for Children’s Health (NSCH), and National Health Interview Survey (NHIS). There are also federal programs including the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA) that have their own counts.
The two reports that came out on Thursday were from ADDM which tends to estimate lower autism prevalence (owing to slightly different research methods) than some of the other surveys.
There are 11 ADDM sites across the country (Arizona, Arkansas, California, Georgia, Maryland, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, Tennessee, Utah, and Wisconsin). Every two years they conduct a study of autism rates in a defined geographic region within the state (in as few as one county in Arizona, to as many as 21 counties in Arkansas). ADDM sites generally measure autism rates in 8-year-olds (almost all children with autism will be diagnosed by that age and such “constant age tracking” allows for more accurate comparisons between different birth cohorts). They are very thorough — reviewing diagnostic evaluations and school records for every child in that defined region. It takes them three years to write up the report (which is extremely unfortunate given the stakes). The main study that was just released looked at children born in 2012 who were studied in 2020.
The headline was 1 in 36 children in the U.S. have autism which is an increase of 18% from the ADDM report (1 in 44) released just two years ago.
I was quoted in an article by Brenda Baletti at Children’s Health Defense about the new numbers, “1 in 36 Kids Have Autism, CDC Says — Critics Slam Agency’s Failure to Investigate Causes.”
Cynthia Nevison wrote a brilliant analysis of the latest reports that was published by Children’s Health Defense on Friday titled, “In New Autism Report, CDC Again Fails to Address Root Causes.”
Dr. Nevison also discussed the reports on the Friday Roundtable of CHD.tv.
III. Boys are 3.8 times more likely to have autism than girls
1 in 36 = 2.78% of all kids in the U.S. have autism, according to the main study. There is variability across the ADDM sites from a low of 2.31% in Maryland to a high of 4.49% in California. But remember, autism is 3.8 times higher among boys than girls. So the autism rate among boys in California in 2020 was 6.94%.
Every f*cking Democrat in California swore that vaccines were not linked to autism, they mandated one of the most extreme childhood vaccine schedules in the world in order for kids to go to school, and voilà 6.94% of boys in the state now have autism.
This is genocide, democide, and androcide. Yes, I am aware of the fact that these children are “just” poisoned and injured for life, not murdered outright (although the SIDS numbers are also appalling). But this is a systematic destruction of a people nonetheless.
IV. The way that the CDC has weaponized equity to promote genocide is sinister
In 2019, Cynthia Nevison was one of the first scholars to spot the fact that Black and Hispanic autism rates had surpassed autism rates in the White community (apologies for the capitalizations of the various races, not my preference, I get that race is a social construct, that’s just how they do it in these reports). During the battle against SB276 in 2019 (that removed all MEDICAL exemptions to vaccinations) we shared this information with elected officials including Lorena Gonzalez (who was chair of the California Latino Legislative Caucus at the time), but they voted to continue genociding their own base anyway.
Black and Hispanic autism rates exceed the rate in the White population in the most recent ADDM studies as well.
Hispanic autism rates are 30% higher in 8-year-olds (born in 2012) and 80% higher in 4-year-olds (born in 2016) as compared with White children of the same age.
Black autism rates are 20% higher for 8-year-olds (born in 2012) and 60% higher for 4-year-olds (born in 2016) as compared with White children of the same age.
SB277 (that removed the personal belief exemption to vaccine mandates) passed in 2015. So the 2016 birth cohort is the first post-SB277 generation. The autism numbers are every bit as horrifying as we predicted they would be and contradict Democratic claims about vaccine safety.
As Black and Hispanic rates were rising the CDC spun it as good news because they claimed it meant more Black and Hispanic kids had access to diagnostic testing. Now that Black and Hispanic autism rates exceed White rates that narrative does not make sense. Dr. Nevison explains:
The apparent underlying assumption was that there is a natural genetic level of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) in the population, which is reflected in White prevalence, and that all races and ethnicities will eventually stabilize at that level thanks to improved outreach and screening.
The new ADDM report recognizes that, “For the first time… the prevalence of ASD was lower among White children than among other racial and ethnic groups, reversing the direction of racial and ethnic differences in ASD prevalence observed in the past.” However, the authors neglect to acknowledge that this reversal undermines the hopeful interpretation of previous ADDM data and effectively turns the equity argument on its head.
But the CDC is sticking with the equity script regardless of the data. The last sentence of the main report states,
These data indicate that ASD is common across all groups of children and underscore the considerable need for equitable and accessible screening, services, and supports for all children.
That’s not actually what these data indicate. These data indicate that American children are being poisoned at an astronomical rate and Black and Hispanic children are being poisoned even more than White children at this point.
V. Higher socioeconomic status is now associated with lower autism rates — once again contradicting the official narrative
In 9 of the 11 ADDM sites, those in the highest third of income had the lowest autism rates (although only 3 of those results were statistically significant). Presumably, those with the most income have the greatest access to testing and diagnostic services — and yet their autism rates are the lowest. Ask yourself: what is different about White and wealthy populations as compared with the rest of the population?
VI. The data on 4-year-olds is even worse
And then there was the second report released on Thursday — early identification of autism among 4-year-olds in 2020. The study found an astonishing 4.64% of four-year-olds in San Diego have autism. But remember autism is more prevalent in boys than girls so this works out to a 7.2% autism rate for boys in San Diego. For Black and Hispanic boys the results are even worse. Dr. Nevison explains:
The race-specific prevalence of the boys was not explicitly stated, but one can back-calculate that it was about 8% for both Blacks and Hispanics.
As the 2016 birth cohort ages and is fully diagnosed, a substantially higher prevalence can be expected, likely exceeding 10% for Black and Hispanic boys in California.
Again, this is the first post-SB277 generation. The law was phased in over time so the 2018 birth cohort will likely have even higher autism prevalence. Then SB276 passed in 2019, removing all medical exemptions to vaccination, so autism prevalence in the 2020 birth cohort and beyond will likely be even worse (perhaps offset somewhat by lower vaccination rates during the pandemic).
San Diego is Lorena Gonzalez’s former Assembly District. Asm. Gonzalez spent the better part of her career in the Assembly ridiculing the parents of vaccine-injured children. And now the autism rates in her former assembly district are among the highest in the country — particularly for Hispanic and Black children.
VII. Not all of the data are released to the public
As bad as the public facing numbers are, there are additional “cross-tabs” — granular data by county or even subsets within a particular county — that are even worse. These cross-tabs are not released to the public. They will show that in many large cities, the autism rate among low income boys of color is 10% or higher. This is a genocide that is being conducted by mostly Democratic political leaders who claim that they care about equity.
Every politician in this country who cares about kids should demand the immediate release of ALL of the ADDM data.
VIII. What are the costs to society from this mass poisoning of children?
Nearly all of the major newspapers in the country wrote a story about the new autism prevalence numbers. None of those stories mentioned anything about the cost of autism. That’s odd, don’t you think?
There are 9 very good studies on the cost of autism:
• Cakir et al. 2020; and
• Blaxill, Rogers, and Nevison 2021 (author copy below).
Leigh & Du show autism costs of one trillion dollars a year in the U.S. by 2025.
Cakir et al. show autism costs of over seven trillion dollars over the period 2020 to 2029.
The study I worked on together with Mark Blaxill and Cynthia Nevison shows autism costs hitting one trillion dollars a year in the mid 2030s.
To put this in perspective, U.S. Defense Department spending is about $800 billion. So by all estimates autism costs in the U.S. will soon exceed U.S. Defense Department costs.
Autism is now an INDUSTRY that has become too big to question. Pharma makes $50 billion annually from the childhood vaccine schedule, then another $10 billion from psychopharmaceuticals to “treat” autism, but there are also billions of dollars of revenue generated from genetics research, psychological testing, support services, and applied behavioral analysis therapy amongst others. And this industry works behind the scenes to censor any discussion about root causes and costs.
The only narrative that is allowed in the public square is that:
Autism is a blessing™️;
Rising autism rates are Good News™️;
Rising Black and Hispanic autism rates are a Victory for Equity™️; and
The only problem here is those damn dirty anti-vaxxers, but otherwise we live in the Best of all Possible Worlds™️.
The reality of course is quite different:
Over 90% of autism cases are likely the result of toxic injury;
We know how to prevent autism — keep toxic chemicals out of kids’ bodies;
Rising autism rates are evidence of a crime against humanity; and
The costs are catastrophic and will cause economic and political collapse in the U.S. in our lifetime.
The reason Democrats kick vaccine-injured kids and their siblings out of school and then drive their families out of the state with these vaccine mandate bills is to reduce costs. (Is it conscious? Probably not, they are not that self-aware. But 95% of decisions are subconscious so whether they are conscious of what they are doing is really beside the point.) I imagine that as prevalence and costs increase they will resort to even more extreme measures to vilify, harass, and censor those who point out what is actually going on.
Of course the better alternative is to prevent autism altogether by banning toxic chemicals that cause developmental disabilities. But we cannot have that conversation in this country because Pharma is implicated and they control the entire system. [MORE]
